Wednesday, November 13, 2024

Reflections on the Saskatchewan Provincial Election in 2024

 

                                           (Picture from Heywood Yu of the Canadian Press )

Abstract: Scott Moe secured the Saskatchewan Party's fifth-straight majority, defeating challenger Carla Beck's NDP that was looking to take back government for the first time since 2007. Saskatchewan Party will form a majority government of 34 in the 61-seat legislature. However, there is a sharp divide between the rural and urban areas. The NDP made its big gains through Regina and Saskatoon, going 12-for-12 in the Queen City and winning in 13 out of 14 Saskatoon constituencies. There is now a situation where the cities go one way and they have a very different set of values and issues and concerns than the rural areas, which is not healthy in SK as well as elsewhere in Canada. Some of the political veterans such as Christine Tell and Laura Loss have lost the race. Problems facing Saskatchewan Party are lack of advocacy and campaigns. On the contrary, Carrla Beck speaks up on issues in consensus, transparency, accountability and integrity. She has also emphasized reaching a lower crime rate and a larger role in the committees. Moreover, the NDP members are active attending gatherings and visiting families, making NDP visible visually, virtually and heard verbally while they advocate a more vibrant, inclusive and innovative society (with incentives to small businesses and rebates on gas taxes, as well as removal of  PST on properties). Due to population variance, there are several boundary changes proposed for Regina’s constituencies. Two previous ones no longer exist, with some new ones encompassing part of some older ones. While there are reasons to consider the population change every now and then, consistency and sustainability should be pursued. On the one hand, Saskatchewan Party has done a better job in getting a good representation of visible minorities in its candidates. On the other hand, NDP has done a better job in getting a good representation of women (and perhaps too good to some extent) and indigenous people in its candidates. About 54 per cent of eligible voters cast their ballots in the 2024 Saskatchewan provincial election, only a slight increase from the 2020 election of just under 53 per cent. Sask. United has nabbed about 4% of the total votes, yet no one of them has got a seat, while the total situation may change considerably if the 4% went to either of the two big parties. To account for the above, the NDP candidates are more active with louder voices and more appearances through mail, email or social media. Public Relations seems also missing for Saskatchewan Party during the election period. Some marketing consultants and project professionals may need to get involved, and detailed analysis of the past elections should be made for suggestions for the future to be put forward. Nevertheless, this party is better poised to lead the province with a stronger economy slogan, a better budget plan (a smaller budget and a faster time to balance) and a much stronger export sector. There is a need for more advocacy and campaigns so that the party can also be felt visually, virtually and verbally. This is for both promotion and accountability. The minority groups need more training and participation in various activities though they are a vital dynamic force in the political campaigns. Encouragement and notifications need to be sent to the young people including university students as their role is growing geometrically. Funds and efforts need to be spent in health care, education and training (including practical training to update the skills), ecological agriculture and infrastructure and logistics.  Also, attention need to be paid to areas where monopoly becomes the obstacle. While professional training is necessary, there need to be different levels of work allowing people of different skills and knowledge to get in the workforce. In a word, Saskatchewan Party people need to listen to NDP and some independent groups for their valuable insights and constructive ideas, and learn from the lessons obtained through their seat losses in the two big cities.

Key Words:  Advocacy and campaigns, economy, budget, area divide, health and education

 

I. General Situation

1. Saskatchewan Party Majority

Scott Moe secured the Saskatchewan Party's fifth-straight majority, defeating challenger Carla Beck's NDP that was looking to take back government for the first time since 2007. Saskatchewan Party will form a majority government in the 61-seat legislature.

 

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 of the 61 ridings to form a majority government with 244, 037 votes and the NDP won 27 ridings with 188, 373 votes to form the Official Opposition. No third party won a seat. While still a clear majority for the Sask. Party, it’s a big drop from the 2020 victories in 48 out of 61 ridings[1].

 

2. Rural-Urban Divide

However, there is a sharp divide between the rural and urban areas.  The electoral map following the election day shows a divided province; Saskatchewan’s two major cities are almost completely orange and the rural areas remain green. The NDP made its big gains through Regina and Saskatoon, going 12-for-12 in the Queen City and winning in 13 out of 14 Saskatoon constituencies. Moe said his government heard the message sent by voters that there is unhappiness in how the province is delivering health care, education and making life affordable[2].

 

Political analyst Ken Coates said the results emerging on Monday night made him nervous. "You're looking at a province here that's going off in two different directions." Coates noted they won almost all the wealthier parts of the cities — in recent elections and could claim to understand urban areas, which made a more rapid notable change in this election. "Now you're looking at a situation where the cities go one way and they have a very different set of values and issues and concerns than the rural areas." It's a trend that has played out across Canada in recent years, he noted. "Southern Ontario has gotten the same mess. Manitoba is exactly in the same situation, and British Columbia's recent election is tied entirely to the rural-urban split. "I don't think this is very healthy for Canada and our politicians on all sides have work to do."[3]

 

3. Unexpected Defeat of Old MLA Members

According to CTV News, some of the political veterans of Saskatchewan Party lost to new hands of NDP[4] with the reasons yet to be explored.

 

Long-time Saskatchewan Party MLA and Minister Christine Tell was not re-elected in the Regina Wascana Plains constituency Monday night, losing to the NDP’s Brent Blakely. Tell had held the seat since 2007, being re-elected in 2011, 2016, and 2020. Blakely enters the legislature as a political newcomer. His previous experience includes a 35 year career as an educator.

 

Sask. Party candidate Gene Makowsky lost his seat in Regina University after representing the Saskatchewan Party since 2011. The former Saskatchewan Roughrider lineman fell to the NDP’s candidate, Sally Housser. Housser touts an extensive background with the New Democrats in several capacities, working as the chief of staff for Saskatchewan’s official opposition and as a press secretary for former Alberta NDP Leader and Premier Rachel Notley and former federal NDP Leader Jack Layton. She has also worked in communications in Manitoba and as a senior manager of public affairs for the Canadian Strategy Group. Regina University was essentially a new constituency-made up of the defunct Regina Gardiner Park combined with portions of the previous iterations of Regina University, Regina Wascana Plains and Regina Douglas Park.

 

Minister of Parks, Culture and Sport and Status of Women Laura Ross was ousted from her seat in Regina Rochdale by a margin of just over 600 votes. Ross had held a seat in Regina for the Sask Party since 2007. Going into the election, Regina Rochdale was redistributed, tightening the margin between the Sask Party and NDP in the constituency. NDP candidate Joan Pratchler enters politics with a storied background that includes education and healthcare.

 

II. Problems Revealed

1. Advocacy and Campaigns

Although NDP could not make a majority in this provincial election, many of their ideas can be borrowed. Carrla Beck has seen issues in consensus, transparency, accountability and integrity. She has also emphasized a lower crime rate and a larger role in the committees. Moreover, I like their actions like attending gatherings and visiting families, making NDP visible visually, virtually and verbally and advocating a more vibrant, inclusive and innovative society (with incentives to small businesses and rebates on gas taxes, and PST on properties removed).

 

2. Boundary Change

Due to population variance, there are several boundary changes proposed for Regina’s constituencies[5].

 

Two constituencies – Regina Gardiner Park and Regina Rosement – no longer exist in the proposed redrawn maps. Regina South Albert and Regina Mount Royal are new constituencies on the map.

 

South Albert includes parts of the previous Pasqua and University constituencies. Mount Royal overtook part of the northwestern portion of the current Pasqua constituency, along with consuming Regina Rosemont and the southwestern tip of Regina Rochdale.

 

While there are reasons to consider the population change every now and then, consistency and sustainability should be pursued and an oversight body consisting of a relevant ratio of Saskatchewan Party, NDP and other parties’ MLAs.

 

3. Unbalanced Representation

On the one hand, Saskatchewan Party has done a better job in getting a good representation of visible minorities in its candidates. On the other hand, NDP has done a better job in getting a good representation of women (and perhaps too good to some extent) and indigenous people in its candidates.

 

According to Saskatchewan Party’s spokesman, Matthew Glover, about one-quarter of the party’s candidates in this election are visible minorities and about one-quarter are women. Three of the party’s candidates are Indigenous. Based on the 2021 Saskatchewan census, the party’s 25 per cent share of visible minorities as candidates outstrips the percentage of visible minorities in the province’s population as a whole, which was less than 15 per cent in the 2021 census. It’s also higher than the percentage in Regina and Saskatoon, which was about 21 per cent in 2021. As for women, though, the last census showed Saskatchewan has slightly more women than men, so the party’s share of female candidates lags the population by half. And the Indigenous population has grown to about 17 per cent — more than three times the percentage of Indigenous candidates fielded by the party[6].

 

In the 2020 provincial elections, the NDP ran many racialized immigrant candidates in Saskatoon and Regina. This time the Sask. Party has 13 such candidates to the NDP's three. Daniel Westlake, assistant professor in the department of political studies at University of Saskatchewan talked about immigrant representation of the parties. "Sask. Party doesn't surprise me, but I am surprised not to see the NDP with more ethnic, racialized minority candidates," he said. "In large part because the NDP has been quite proactive in a lot of other provinces at ensuring they've recruited a diverse slate."[7]

 

4. Low Voter Turnout

About 54 per cent of eligible voters cast their ballots in the 2024 Saskatchewan provincial election, only a slight increase from the 2020 election of just under 53 per cent[8]. It is not yet known why there is a consistently low turnout in the provincial election. Some of the reasons may include their lack of knowledge of the candidates or their dissatisfaction with some of the politicians.

 

5. Vote Split

Moe's concerns about vote-splitting by the Sask. United may come true and cost Christine Tell her Regina Wascana Plains seat. The NDP is currently projected to win with 47.1 per cent of the vote, while the Sask Party's Tell has 43.2 per cent and the Sask. United has 4.5 per cent. If the votes for the SUP can be put jointly to Tell, there will be another story.

 

However, Sask. United's overall vote share is very small compared to the Sask Party's 53 per cent and the NDP's 39.4 per cent popular support. The SUP nabbed four per cent of the popular vote, while the remaining parties grabbed a combined 3.7 per cent[9].

 

III. Reasons

1. NDP

1) More advocacy

It seems that the NDP candidates are more active with louder voices and more appearances through mail, email or social media.  This may result in those indecisive or in other parties to switch to them.

 

2) Shift of Focus

(1) Cities to Other Areas

The traditional NDP vote base is the cities, with more people affected by different unions or by education of new ideas. However, they are now trying to tap into the new market like small towns and the rural areas.

 

(2) Individuals to Businesses and Organizations

Just several weeks before the provincial election, Carla Beck and some other NDP candidates appeared on a meeting hosted by Regina Chamber of Commerce, which marked their emphasis on small businesses and organizations. And Carla Beck’s lecture was well received.

 

2. Saskatchewan Party

1) Lack of Media Coverage

Due to some reasons, the Saskatchewan Party candidates were not as active and visible as their NDP counterparts. The writer thinks that they need a stronger support team including volunteers. Engagement with some consulting companies regarding campaigns may also work.

 

2) Issues of Some Candidates

In February Moose Jaw Wakamow MLA Greg Lawrence — who was a Sask. Party MLA caucus member until the day before he was officially charged by Moose Jaw police with assault and assault by choking[10]. In May, the Saskatchewan NDP requested COIC investigations into two MLAs from the Saskatchewan Party, alleging that both appeared to have “wrongfully cashed in on government contracts” through their private businesses[11].

 

3) Lack of Expertise

As mentioned above, some marketing consultants and project professionals may need to get involved, and detailed analysis of the past elections should be made for suggestions for the future to be put forward.

 

IV. Looking into the Future

1.      Saskatchewan Party More Poised to Lead the Province

1)      A stronger economy slogan

Beck pledged to spend more to fix health care and education, pause the gas tax, and remove the provincial sales tax on children's clothes and some grocery items. Moe said his government heard the message sent by voters that there is unhappiness in how the province is delivering health care, education and making life affordable.[12] While some of them like health care and education are very important issues, a stronger economy lays a solid foundation for solving the above problems. A plant needs to have a root, and a river needs to have a source of water.

2)      More practical and realistic policies

Moe's platform would cost an additional $1.2 billion over four years. He said his tax reduction plan would save a family of four $3,400 over four years. It also includes tax credits for those looking to grow their families or put their children in sports and arts activities. Moe promised deficits in the first two years, followed by a surplus in 2027. Beck said her promises would cost an additional $3.5 billion over four years, with plans to cut what she calls Saskatchewan Party waste and to balance the budget by the end of her term[13].

3)      Controlled budget

Grant Devine and his colleagues had completely damaged the credit, to the point that we had a C or less credit rating and couldn’t get any entity at all to lend us money. We were at the point of bankruptcy - as a resource-rich province. To pull us away from the brink, the NDP had to cut costs where they could. They closed some rural hospitals (which the Devine government had built fairly recently) and some schools, raised some taxes, and clawed us back into a budget surplus by the early 2000s. Some older people may remember that SIAST was originally a hospital, later turned into a school, due to reckless and inappropriate planning. A more conservative and sound budget system is needed to safe-guard the financial resources of the province, and the writer believes SaskParty is doing better in this regard though some areas may still have room for improvement.

4)      Ethical issues

The reader agrees to the stand Moe takes on clear-gender washrooms in schools. First, men and women are different biologically, and that difference should be natural. Secondly, if that difference is blurred or confused, many other things will follow suit (in things like parenthood), opening the Pandora Box. Thirdly, this may bring about lower and lower population and the future of lost generations.  Last but not least, boys and girls below 18 cannot be responsible for themselves. What would happen if they are overdosed with cocaine or if they are over-drunken?

Moe said his first order of business if re-elected would be to ban "biological boys" from using school changing rooms with "biological girls."[14] He later added that he would consult with school boards about change room issues after board elections are complete next week. "I'm not going to preclude where those discussions will land," Moe said[15]. The writer totally understands his considerations but still maintains that boys’ change rooms should not be mixed with the girls’.

5)      A clear vision

According to the Saskatchewan Party plan, the provincial budget will be balanced by the year 2027, and this will be achieved while income tax will be saved by $3,400 annually for a family of four and $3,100 for a senior couple over 4 years (with the highest tax free threshold of income in Canada). Their vision is to grow, build and promote Saskatchewan with $50 billion already in export trade annually, 70% up since 2018[16].

 

2.      Areas for Improvement

1)      Need of more advocacy and campaigns

There is a need for more advocacy and campaigns so that SaskParty can also be felt visually, virtually and verbally. This is for both promotion and accountability.

2)      Role play of minority groups

It is very interesting to see that some minority groups are very active and have shown their muscles. In the constituency of Regina Coronation Park, though Riaz Ahmad of SaskParty from Pakistan failed after being nominated in 2023, Noor Burki of NDP from Pakistan won the election. In the constituency of Regina Pasqua, though Muhammad Fiaz of SaskParty from Pakistan was elected and has been serving as MLA for Regina Pasqua since the 2016 provincial election, Bhajan Brar of NDP from Punjab of India won the election. David Chan of SaskParty, probably of Hong Kong origin, won the election in Yorkton though it was the first time for him to be nominated.

The writer feels that the minority groups are a vital dynamic force in the political campaigns. However, they need more training and participation in various activities.

3)      Encouragement of young voters like university graduates

Though, it is not yet known why almost half of the citizens did not come out to vote, encouragement and notifications need to be sent to them. Young people are more important as they can gain the momentum and their role will be greater and greater.

4)      Investment into the future

In Saskatchewan, there is one nurse to 14 patients, and some patients have received care in beds in hallways while others have slept in their car because there are no beds[17]. Funds and efforts need to be spent in health care, education and training (including practical training to update the skills), ecological agriculture and infrastructure and logistics.

Also, attention need to be paid to areas where monopoly becomes the obstacle. While professional training is necessary, there need to be different levels of work allowing people of different skills and knowledge to get in the workforce. Actually, pharmacists giving prescriptions is one way of removing the barriers, and similar reforms need to be made in the legal industry, making notaries and paralegals available to the public for some part of the legal work.

V. Conclusion

The Saskatchewan Party has won the provincial election, yet there are still a lot to improve, and they need to listen to other parties and groups and borrow some of their insightful and constructive ideas.

                                                            

2024年萨省大选的启示

摘要:斯科特·莫 (Scott Moe) 击败了挑战者卡拉·贝克 (Carla Beck) 的新民党,获得了萨省党的连续第五个多数席位,后者自 2007 年以来首次寻求夺回政府主导权。萨斯喀彻温省党将在 61 个席位的立法机构中组建一个由 34 个席位组成的多数政府。然而,农村和城市地区之间存在着明显的鸿沟。新民党在里贾纳和萨斯卡通取得了巨大胜利,在皇后城以 12 比 12 获胜,并在萨斯卡通 14 个选区中的 13 个获胜。现在的情况是,城市与农村地区有着截然不同的价值观、问题和关注点,这在萨省和加拿大其他地方都是不健康的。一些政治老手,如克里斯汀·泰尔(Christine Tell)和劳拉·洛斯(Laura Loss)已经输掉了竞选。萨省党面临的问题是缺乏宣传和竞选拓展活动。相反,卡拉·贝克在共识、透明度、问责制和诚信方面大声疾呼。她还强调要降低犯罪率并在委员会中发挥更大的作用。此外,新民党成员积极参加聚会和探访家庭,使其在视觉、网络和听觉上都可触及,同时他们倡导一个更有活力、更具包容性和创新性的社会(为小企业提供激励和实行汽油税退税,以及取消房产的 PST)。由于人口差异,里贾纳的选区提出了几项边界变化。以前的两个选区已不复存在,一些新的选区包含了一些旧选区的一部分。虽然有理由时不时地考虑人口变化,但应该追求一致性和可持续性。一方面,萨省党在候选人中让有色少数族裔得到良好代表方面做得更好。另一方面,新民党在候选人中争取女性(也许在某种程度上太好了)和原住民的良好代表性方面做得更好。在 2024 年萨省选举中,约 54% 的合格选民投了票,仅比 2020 年选举中略低于 53% 的选民比例略有增加。萨省联合党获得了大约 4% 的总选票,但他们中没有一个人获得席位,而如果这 4% 的选票投给了两个大党中的任何一个,总体情况可能会发生巨大变化。导致上述情况发生的原因有,新民党候选人更加活跃,声音更大,通过邮件、电子邮件或社交媒体露面的次数更多。在选举期间,萨省党似乎也缺少公共关系方面的运作。一些营销顾问和项目专业人士可能需要参与进来,并应对过去的选举进行详细分析,以便为未来提出建议。尽管如此,该党更有能力以更强大的经济口号、更好的预算计划(更小的预算和更快的财务平衡时间)和更强劲的出口部门来领导该省。萨省党需要更多的宣传和拓展活动,这样也能在视觉、网络和语言上让人们感受到这个党的动向。这既是为了拓展宣传,也是为了更好地实施问责制。少数群体需要更多的培训和参与各种活动,尽管他们是政治运动中的重要动力。萨省党还需要向包括大学生在内的年轻人提供鼓励和传送通知,因为他们的作用将呈几何级数增长。同时,还需要将资金和精力投入到医疗保健、教育和培训(包括更新技能的实用培训)、生态农业以及基础设施和物流方面。 此外,还需要关注垄断成为障碍的领域。虽然专业培训是必要的,但需要有不同等级的工作,让具有不同技能和知识的人都进入劳动力市场。总之,萨省党员需要听取新民党和一些独立团体的宝贵意见和建设性建议,并从他们在两个大城市失去席位这一事态中吸取教训。

关键词: 宣传和拓展活动, 经济, 预算, 区域分割, 健康和教育



[1] Karen Bartko: Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party projected to form majority government, Global News, Oct 28, h2024; Michael Joel-Hansen: Majority rules: Saskatchewan Party does it again, wins fifth-straight provincial election, Saskatoon StarPhoenix, Oct 28, 2024; Halyna Mihalik: Sask. NDP wins all but 1 seat in Regina and Saskatoon after final votes counted, CBC news, 10 Nov 2024. Please check the article reported from Saskatoon at https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatoon/saskatchewan-election-results-finalised-close-race-with-opposition-1.7379833.

[2] Michael Joel-Hansen: Majority rules: Saskatchewan Party does it again, wins fifth-straight provincial election, Saskatoon StarPhoenix, Oct 28, 2024; also check Note 1.

[3]   Karen Bartko: Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party projected to form majority government, Global News, Oct 28, 2024.

[4] David Prisciak and Drew Postey: Here are the upsets of Saskatchewan's 2024 election, CTV News, Oct. 29, 2024.

[5] Caitlin Brezinski and Brendan Ellis: Here's what Sask. constituencies could look like for the next provincial election, CTV News, July 29, 2022.

[6] Phil Tank: Tank: Saskatchewan candidates reflect diversity, but will they get elected? Saskatoon StarPhoenix, Oct 24, 2024.

[7] Pratyush Dayal: Representation, strategy or both? Sask. election sees increase in racialized immigrant candidates, CBC News, Oct 25, 2024

[8] Joshua Gwozdz: Saskatchewan sees low voter turnout for 2024 provincial election, Global News, October 30, 2024.

[9] Moira Wyton: 3 key takeaways from the Saskatchewan provincial election, CBC, Oct 29, 2024.

[10] Murray Mandryk: Latest Sask. Party MLA criminal charges a disaster for Moe, Regina Leader-Post, Feb 1, 2024.

[11] David Prisciak: Conflict of Interest Commissioner investigating Sask Party's Cockrill and Grewal, CTV News, Aug 28, 2024.

[12] Jeremy Simes and Aaron Sousa: Saskatchewan Party wins fifth straight majority government, Scott Moe back as premier, the Canadian Press, Oct 28, 2024, https://www.sasktoday.ca/national-news/saskatchewan-party-wins-fifth-straight-majority-government-scott-moe-back-as-premier-9718795.

[13] Michael Joel-Hansen: Majority rules: Saskatchewan Party does it again, wins fifth-straight provincial election, Saskatoon StarPhoenix, Oct 28, 2024.

[14] Karen Bartko: Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party projected to form majority government, Global News, Oct 28, 2024.

[15] Jeremy Simes: Premier Scott Moe unveils new, smaller Sask. cabinet and says change room policy no longer 1st priority, the Canadian Press, 7 Nov 2024. Please also take time to read the article by clicking the following link: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/scott-moe-new-smaller-cabinent-shuffle-1.7376658.

[16] Please check the website: www.saskparty.com/ourplan.

[17] Saskatchewan nurses rally to call for next government to fix hospital staffing, the Canadian Press, Oct 3, 2024.

Sunday, November 10, 2024

The Case for Positive Change in Regina


-          With Discussion of the Coming Mayoral Election


Abstract: There will be a municipal election on Nov 13, 2024, and riding on the bus will be free on that day. While Regina has experienced many changes, are they the ones we want? How do we evaluate the present situation facing the city? Many mayoral candidates have expressed a need for change, yet the question is what kind of change we really want, and how we should initiate the changes. What kind of mayor do we need? How do we compare the mayoral candidates? In the mayoral candidate debate, when asked what their first 100 days in office would look like, the majority of candidates recognized there would be some time needed to get up to speed, but Bresciani and Masters said they were ready to jump right back in. While Masters has mentioned progress has been made on every key file, and things were going in the right direction, many other candidates express that more or less there is a need for strong focused leadership with solid sustainable planning to solve problems of core services, homelessness, safety, financial accountability and affordability.  Bresciani thinks the number one thing that is coming up time over time is affordability. People are strained. They are worried. Many people are struggling just to pay the bills and put food on the table, with someone working at two jobs, while the city is building a grand new pool, which cost up to $270 million, let alone the new library and the electric bus project. With the municipal deficit sitting at $1 billion, alternative solutions need to be explored, and the taxpayers' money need to be spent wisely. Procurement, scheduling and construction process need to be examined and accounted to the public for the purpose of transparency. A coordinated consensus can be achieved with the right leadership style and well-informed decision-making, and projects can be completed efficiently and effectively. Bill Pratt says there is a need to address public safety on an integrated basis, with the root causes examined, and the general public involved. Also, management need to be revised with more accountability, more planning and coordination, more innovative ideas and pilot studies, and a longer perspective. Experience from other regions like China and Japan (with an advanced technology identification and fast response system and the system to be accountable to the general public) can be borrowed.  The writer suggests consideration of a person with a long time living in Regina, possession of a local property, management experience of more than 10 years as well as experience serving on NPOs to be an appropriate mayoral candidate. For checks and balances and better policy making and operations, a supervisory board of directors and a consultative committee need to be installed, in addition to a comprehensive performance and objective review of the police and the city staff. While many advocate more people and more affordable housing in downtown Regina, the writer suggests the other way with focus on the commercial side and a vehicle-free inner zone. Many factors can be weighed before we make a choice in the mayoral election, yet the writer thinks love and passion for the city as well as leadership style are the most important. As every candidate has his or her advantages, and as every candidate has his own personal perspective, it would be a good idea to borrow the concepts and sparks of thoughts of the others after one is elected to the position of the mayor. It is a pity that only one candidate can be chosen. However, it would be recommended that the talents as well as the ideas of the other candidates be used one way or another by the new mayor, and collaborative leadership along with a group of proficient consultants will be encouraged. Regina is due for positive change lead by a collaborative leader with a long-term perspective, a clear vision, a resolute to achieve and a captain’s capability and charisma.

Key Words: Financial accountability, public safety, affordability, accountability, leadership

After the Start of Winter (which is Nov 7, 2024) in the Lunar Calendar, winter is formally ushered in. There will be a municipal election on Nov 13, 2024, and riding on the bus will be free on that day. While Regina has experienced many changes, are they the ones we want? How do we evaluate the present situation facing the city including security and safety, infrastructure and council member coordination? Many mayoral candidates have expressed a need for change, yet Regina is changing constantly already, from the utility bills, to the mill rate, to the charge for the bins, and to the incidents in downtown Regina. So the question is what kind of change we really want.

In Australia, it is mandatory to vote, and you need to explain your reasons why you cannot vote. If the reasons cannot be accepted, you have a pay a fine of $20. If you refuse to pay the $20 fine, you then have to go to the court and pay $170 plus the litigation cost[1]. Many immigrants from countries with similar rules believe that Canada needs to promulgate such regulations, as only 21% voted in the last municipal election[2].

I.                    General Situation

Compared to the 2020 advance polls of 15,190, there were 14,374 ballots cast in total, and it seems that more people should come out to vote and express their willingness. In the mayoral candidate debate, when asked what their first 100 days in office would look like, the majority of candidates recognized there would be some time needed to get up to speed, but Bresciani and Masters said they were ready to jump right back in. While Sandra Masters has mentioned progress has been made on every key file, and things were going in the right direction, many other candidates express that more or less there is a need for strong focused leadership with solid sustainable planning to solve problems of core services, homelessness, safety, financial accountability and affordability.

II.                 Problems

1.      Affordability

Lori Bresciani thinks the number one thing that is coming up time over time is affordability. People are strained. They are worried. She said, "many are struggling just to pay the bills and put food on the table. It's time to refocus Regina.” She cited the example of someone working at two jobs, while is city is building a grand new pool. She added that the taxpayers' money need to be spent wisely[3].

2.      Uncontrolled Debt

First, there is the issue of funding for infrastructure projects. “I think we need to be accountable in every dollar that's spent,” Bresciani said, pointing to costs of the new Indoor Aquatic Centre facility project.  “The cost went up 50 percent and no consultation on the increase of the cost when it came up to the $245 million.”[4] And this figure is still growing, now to about $270 million. The present Lawson Aquatic Centre is still being used, and a feasibility study of whether the City needs to build a new pool or renovate the old one needs to be done. This applies the same to the Regina Public Library project, which involves more than $100 million, let alone the electric bus project, all possibly triggering a hike in property tax.

Though Masters mentioned that in her term she managed to save $43 million by cost avoidance efficiencies and pipe relining, there is still a deficit of $1 billion to address in her next term if she wins this election[5].

3.      Transparency

Chad Bachynski, a project manager at Sask Energy (also a mayoral candidate), said, “we need to look at the processes. We need to improve the processes. We need to look at policies that govern how administration is able to execute construction projects. We need to look at our procurement practices as well to make sure that we're offering flexible time frames.” Bachynski also pointed to reaction he’s heard from the public about disruptions. “Everybody's quite frustrated that it seems like every major artery is blocked off. And so, you know, what that looks like is a procurement policy, a change in the way we do things, a change in the way we operate, obviously, because it's not happening today. So we need to change that.” [6]

4.      Division

At a city council meeting on Sept 13, 2023, Ward 1 Coun. Cheryl Stadnichuk, Ward 3 Coun. Andrew Stevens, Ward 6 Coun. Dan LeBlanc and Ward 8 Coun. Shanon Zachidniak called for the city to declare a “houselessness emergency.”  Regina saw an increase of 110 per cent in the Point-in-time Homelessness which saw its total rise from 232 people in 2015, to 488 in 2021. However, in a vote of six to two, city council voted against the motion. Masters said the motion wouldn’t be helpful for the city. The motion in front of council also asked for among other things: for the city to call on the provincial and federal governments to contribute emergency funding to address the crisis; for city administration to create a plan to provide temporary barrier-free shelter for all Regina residents in need by the end of the third quarter of 2023; that the city make a long-term commitment to addressing homelessness as part of the 2024 budget process; that encampments only be dismantled for safety reasons if there is a documented pattern of unwillingness from camp organizers to address multiple safety concerns. The discussion led to heated responses from people in the chamber which had them removed[7].

Pratt said, “now let's be clear, some of these challenges stem from a city council that has been dysfunctional, fragmented, and at times an embarrassment to our city."[8] Bachynski suggested a united frontline, and he said, “you need leadership that rallies council to a consistent, cohesive vision that everybody can rally behind that will enable us to take action faster that will enable us to actually implement these things faster”[9]. He added that success is going to be measured by feedback from the residents in terms of the response time as well as quality of the project.

5.      Security and Safety

The writer has a story (which I heard by chance at the court) to tell about Mr. Su in the North Central area. The window of his car on Rae St was smashed, and $3,000 together with the wallet were gone. The police said they could do nothing about it. His house experienced 3 break-ins. The last time he called the police to get the intruder expelled, yet the guy damaged the external door and broke in again after a night’s detainment by the police.

As to public safety,  Bresciani said, "proactive solutions like the alternative response officers, the program to increase the presence of public safety officers downtown is going to be a game-changer, and Regina police are going to be working closely with community associations in all neighbourhoods on how to be more proactive on crime reduction." Bill Pratt, the former CEO of Eden Care Homes, spoke of an integrated approach. "We need to examine the spectrum of public safety, from root causes to addressing issues of addiction and mental health."[10]

As to fluoride in the water, Masters said it was one of the top 100 public health initiatives in the last century, and she was proud of that. Bresciani said that we need to do a better job of being transparent about these types of decisions so people feel informed and engaged in these decisions. However, she emphasized that the decision went with the feedback from public health ensuring the water is safe, and the City actually received an award for the drinking water a few years back[11].

III.               Reasons

1.      Accountability

The accountability issue is the issue that you need to be responsible to someone one way or another. If no one is watching, and if no explanation is necessary, it is hard to see that the work may be done well. A system needs to be in place before everything gets rolling in its way.

2.      Shot-Term Perspective

In game theory, those who think they will deal with each other again will have to think more ahead and trade benefits for now with those for the future. Therefore, stakeholders need to have the opportunity to deal with each other many times before they can have a longer term perspective and longer term planning.

3.      Leadership

Among some of the leadership styles recommended, the writer prefers democratic leadership which values the opinions and feelings of everyone. This style can both obtain feedback rapidly and train some potential leaders or assistants to the leader. Strategic leadership and collaborative or coaching leadership may also be used.

4.      Planning and Coordination

1)      D/T Regina

(1)   Not the Cards but the Players

It is very rare that any robbing or stealing may happen in Japan or China. This is both due to the technology employed to detect any suspects instantly and the unified system to identify and catch the criminal. Experience can be borrowed, and the police can work more efficiently and effectively.

(2)   Removal of the Fuel from the Cauldron

Many people are saying we need people in downtown Regina. While tax revenue in this area has a high percentage, the focus of downtown should be commercial, not residential. Adding people to downtown especially ordinary residents will put more fuel to the cauldron.

2)      Other Areas

The other areas can be developed and improved into a vibrant residential community, and encouragement or incentives need to be given to the local communities.

 

IV.              Adoptable Measures

1.      Accountable Government

1)      Eligibility of Mayoral and Councillor Candidates

It is considered those with stakes will care more about the local issue than those without. Therefore there may need a criteria set out for the candidates to run as a mayor or as a councillor, and the factor to be put into consideration can include: a) number of years living in Regina; b) property ownership in Regina; c) management experience for at least 5 years; d)        serving on NPO boards or committees. The following is a suggested list:

Candidate Criteria

 

# of Years Living in Regina

Possession of a Property

Management Experience

Serving on NPO Boards or Committees

Mayoral Candidate

>10

Yes

>10

Yes

Councillor Candidate

>5

 

>5

Yes

 

2)      Supervisory Board of Directors

A supervisory board of directors is needed in the sense that the City needs budget review and internal auditing. Regina is one of the cities that lack auditors to look at the financial feasibility of many different projects. The author recommends funding for a project can be used only upon approval of 2/3 of the directors. Those directors can be elected by the City through the general staff meeting, and they are permitted to attend all the meetings and discussions including the council meetings and the staff meetings and raise questions.

3)      Consultative Committee

A consultative committee is needed to recommend proposals, review bills and oversee different departments and offices. The consultants are recommended by the mayor with approval of the council, and they are to deal with every urgent problem when it arises. They can also be present and raise questions at the Supervisory Board of Directors though they cannot vote for a resolution at that board.

2.      Police Evaluation and Installation of Alterative Response Officers

Reflecting on Su’s story mentioned earlier, there need an accountability system for the police, with their duties clarified as well as any incentive or penalty defined. Alterative Response Officers can be increased due to its lower budget and flexible schedule.

3.      Increase of the Role of Committees and Independent Consultants while Opening to Options

While the decision process needs to be transparent, the role of independent committees and consultants need to be enlarged. The writer is an independent PMP, yet he cannot find online anything about the bids for the library project. Bids should be invited to the general public and evaluated based on soundness of the analysis, feasibility of the adoptable measures and provision of alternatives, without revealing the names of the bidders. Also, it never hurts to listen to an independent third party, and that is what one candidate advocates as she called for development of a coordinated master plan to minimize disruptions, reduce the costs and maximize resources efficiency including utilizing best practices and alternative ways to deliver projects like naming rights and joint ventures. The writer also suggests exclusive right auctions and leases with some reservations.

Please note that the consultants need to be professional while upholding a certain moral standard. You cannot stand in one camp one day and go to another on another day. Also, as Canada is an immigrant country, it is advised to be integrated into the Canadian society and not withholding to your own circle. Canada needs professionals who are those with integrity, principle, frankness, love and compassion no matter where they came from.

4.      Thinking Outside of the Box

Many candidates talked about more affordable housing and more people in downtown Regina. The mayoral candidate Chad Bachynski talked about the need for more affordable housing in the city's interior. "It's a math problem to me. It provides more people using less lengths of roads, less lengths of pipe and shorter transit commutes," said Bachynski."So overall, there's an overall benefit and it actually reduces the tax burden on those folks living in the suburban areas." Many other candidates (including Masters, Bresciani and Pratt) talked about getting more people in downtown Regina.

However, as a trained PMP, the writer thinks fundamental or root causes have to be found out to solve the problem. Also, sometimes we have to step outside of the box to see clearly what’s in the box. In order to solve the parking issue, the air pollution issue, the public safety issue and the tenant-landlord relations issue, the writer has the following suggestions to consider: a) establish a city-round tour bus going to and from downtown Regina so that employees and business owners (with a discount to them for a monthly pass) can use it as their means of transportation, and funding can be obtained through advertisements on the bus, with the downtown core area designated as a vehicle-free zone; b) reduce the size of population in downtown Regina and us this part as a day-time zone; c) buy in properties from the owners and develop them into tourist areas, movie theatres, playgrounds and farmer markets; make three circles in the downtown area, with the inner circle used for walking, shopping and entertainment, the middle circle used for cycling and sightseeing, and the third circle for transportation in and out of the area; d) set up daily patrols in turns to enhance security and safety using patrol guards recruited from the general public, especially the young unemployed people at a pay calculated according to the hours and experience and performance.

5.      Open Day of the Mayor per Month as well as a Mayor’s Mailbox

Although the mayor will be busy with many things, he or she is not a City Manager. His or her main task is to think, plan and coordinate. Yet there may be moments that he is too much buried in his work that he neglects other things. Therefore, an open day a month is necessary, supplemented by a mailbox to the Mayor directly. Processing of the mails may need others to help, but the Mayor should read the letter whenever he or she is free.

 

V.                 Mayoral Election Result Preview

1.      Candidate Review

The write has compiled a list of profiles for the 11 candidates. Out of those 11 people, it is believed that one of the four (lined in alphabetical order according to the last name), Chad Bachynski, Lori Bresciani, Sandra Masters, and Bill Pratt, are more likely to win than the others. However, the writer thinks that love and passion for the community and the leadership style are the most important.

As every candidate has his or her advantages, and as every candidate has his own personal perspective, it would be a good idea to borrow the positive concepts and sparks of thoughts of the others when one is elected to the position of the mayor. It is a pity that only one candidate can be chosen. However, it would be recommended that the talents as well as the constructive ideas of the other candidates be used one way or another by the new mayor, and collaborative leadership along with a group of consultants will be encouraged.





 

2.      Actions Speak Louder than Words

Regina has seen some positive changes as well as challenges. For example, the snow on the street is cleared faster and cleaner than before. A washroom has been installed in Victoria Park of downtown Regina. Waste disposal is made more classified though the cost goes higher yet with choices. It is easier to comment than to do it yourself. The writer is in agreement with a gradual change with planning and purpose. When voters evaluate the candidates, they need to bear in mind what they have done before so that they can take the role of the mayor. With the present situation, a candidate who is familiar with the municipal decision process and who can coordinate with the different council members easily in discord will be a good choice.

VI.              Conclusion

Regina is due for positive change lead by a collaborative leader with a long-term perspective, a clear vision, a resolute to achieve and a captain’s capability and charisma.


(Postscript: As declared by the Returning Officer on 15 Nov 2024, Bachynski, Bresciani, Masters and Pratt each got 31.50%, 24.89%, 23.12% and 12.14% of the total valid votes of 52,402. Please refer to the website for the details, https://www.regina.ca/export/sites/Regina.ca/elections/.galleries/pdfs/2024-Results-All-Races-Appendix-A.pdf.)


里贾纳积极变革之议题

—兼论即将到来的市长选举

摘要2024 11 13 日将举行市政选举,当天人们可以免费乘坐公交车。虽然里贾纳经历了许多变化,但这些变化是我们想要的吗?我们如何评估这座城市目前面临的形势?许多市长候选人都表达了变革的需要,但问题是我们真正想要什么样的变革,以及我们应该如何发起变革。我们需要什么样的市长?我们如何比较市长候选人?在市长候选人辩论中,当被问及他们上任后的头 100 天会是什么样子时,大多数候选人都承认需要一些时间来适应,但布雷西亚尼和马斯特斯表示他们已经准备好立即重新投入工作。虽然马斯特斯提到每个关键事项都取得了进展,事情正在朝着正确的方向发展,但许多其他候选人表示,或多或少需要强有力的专注领导和坚实的可持续规划来解决核心服务、无家可归、安全、财务问责和负担能力的问题。布雷西亚尼认为,随着时间的推移,首要问题是负担能力。人们很紧张,很担心。许多人挣扎着支付账单和养家糊口,有人打两份工,而城市正在建造一个宏伟的新游泳馆,耗资高达 2.7 亿加元,更不用说新图书馆和电动巴士项目了。由于市政赤字高达 10 亿加元,需要探索替代解决方案,纳税人的钱需要明智地使用。采购、调度、施工等过程需要审查,以对公众负责并确保透明度。同时,要通过正确的领导方式和明智的决策,达成协调共识,高效完成项目。比尔·普拉特表示,需要从整体上解决公共安全问题,查明根本原因,并让公众参与其中。此外,需要改进管理方式,增加责任制、规划和协调、创新理念和试点研究,并放眼长远。可以借鉴中国和日本等其他地区的经验(拥有先进的技术识别和快速响应系统以及对公众问责制度)。作者建议考虑在里贾纳居住很长时间、拥有当地房产、有 10 年以上管理经验以及在非营利组织有服务经验的人作为合适的市长候选人。为了实现制衡和更好的政策制定和运营,需要设立监事会和咨询委员会,此外还要对警察和市政工作人员进行全面的绩效和客观评估。虽然许多人主张在里贾纳市中心增加人口和提供更多经济适用房,但作者建议采取另一种方式,重点关注商业方面,打造无机动车辆核心区。在市长选举中,我们可以权衡许多因素,但作者认为对城市的热爱和激情以及领导风格是最重要的。由于每个候选人都有自己的优势,每个候选人都有自己的个人观点,因此在当选市长后,借用其他人的概念和思想火花是一个好主意。遗憾的是只能选出一名候选人。然而,建议新市长以某种方式利用其他候选人的才能和想法,并鼓励采用协作领导方式和启用有效顾问团队。里贾纳应该采取积极的变革,由一位具有长远眼光、清晰愿景、实现目标的决心、有领袖能力和魅力的协作型领导者来领导。

 

关键词:财务责任、公共安全、可负担性、问责制、领导力

 

 

 

 

 

 



[1] Zhang Hui: Those Countries That Enforced Democracy (in Chinese), Youth Reference, Page 11, 29 Oct 2014, https://qnck.cyol.com/html/2014-10/29/nw.D110000qnck_20141029_2-11.htm.

[2] Regina had 21% voter turnout for 2020 municipal election, slightly more than 2016, CBC News, 12 Nov 2020, https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/regina-voter-turnout-2020-municipal-election-1.5799813.

[3] John Cairns: Regina mayor’s race candidates tangle in Access TV debate, SaskToday, 31 Oct 2024, https://www.sasktoday.ca/elections/yourvote2024/regina-mayors-race-candidates-tangle-in-access-tv-debate-9740334.

[4] John Cairns: Regina mayor’s race candidates tangle in Access TV debate, SaskToday, 31 Oct 2024, https://www.sasktoday.ca/elections/yourvote2024/regina-mayors-race-candidates-tangle-in-access-tv-debate-9740334.

[5] David Prisciak: Meet Regina mayoral candidate: Sandra Masters, CTV News, 7 Nov 2024, https://regina.ctvnews.ca/meet-regina-mayoral-candidate-sandra-masters-1.7101418; Larissa Kurz: Masters 'more committed now than four years ago' to Regina, if re-elected mayor, Regina Leader-Post, 30 Oct 2024, https://leaderpost.com/news/local-news/city-hall/masters-more-committed-now-than-four-years-ago-to-regina-if-re-elected-mayor.

[6] Please also refer to the above article.

[7] Andrew Benson: Motion to declare homelessness an emergency shot down at Regina city council meeting, Global News, 14 Sept 2023, https://globalnews.ca/news/9958649/big-discussion-homelessness-regina-city-council/.

[8] John Cairns: Regina mayor’s race candidates tangle in Access TV debate, SaskToday, 31 Oct 2024, https://www.sasktoday.ca/elections/yourvote2024/regina-mayors-race-candidates-tangle-in-access-tv-debate-9740334.

[9] David Prisciak: Meet Regina mayoral candidate: Chad Bachynski, CTV News, 5 Nov 2024, https://regina.ctvnews.ca/meet-regina-mayoral-candidate-chad-bachynski-1.7098566.

[10] Alexander Quon: Public safety, affordable housing focus of Regina mayoral debate, 30 Oct 2024, https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/regina-civic-election-1.7368229.

[11] John Cairns: Regina mayor’s race candidates tangle in Access TV debate, SaskToday, 31 Oct 2024, https://www.sasktoday.ca/elections/yourvote2024/regina-mayors-race-candidates-tangle-in-access-tv-debate-9740334.